Inflation shows marginal uptick, moves up to 5.01% in May 2015

15 Jun 2015 Evaluate

Inflation based on consumer price index (CPI) moved up slightly to 5.01% in May 2015 from 4.87% in April 2015, while food items inflation declined, an increase in inflation for transportation and communication contributed to the rise in overall CPI inflation. Even in food items fruits and vegetables eased during the month but the costlier pulses were a concern. Prices of pulses rose by 16.62% in May 2015 over the same month last year. The overall food inflation fell to 4.8% during the month, from 5.11% in April 2015.

As per the data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, the corresponding provisional Consumer Price Index (CPI) for rural area was 5.52% and urban area 4.41% in May 2015, as against 5.29% and 4.36% in April 2015. The General Indices (Provisional) for the month of May 2015 for Rural, Urban and Combined stood 122.4, 120.7 and 121.6, respectively. The Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) for Rural, Urban and Combined for the same month stood 123.8, 125.7 and 124.5 respectively. The core CPI inflation rose to 4.4% in May 2015 from 4% in April 2015 and 3.9% in March 2015.

Product wise, the inflation for fruit and vegetables was 3.84% and 4.64%, respectively, milk and its products were costlier by 7.43% in May 2015 over the same month last year. Prices of protein-rich items such as 'meat and fish' rose by 5.43%, while spices were costlier by 8.82%. Among other, oils and fats prices rose by 1.95%, cereals and products by 1.98%, while that of egg declined by 0.78% in May 2015.

The consumer price index-based inflation showed a marginal uptick  to a three-month high, but was on expected line and the major solace was that the last two readings have shown that food prices are not flaring up despite adverse weather conditions, given the outlook for uneven monsoon distribution. Also, it will go down well with the Reserve Bank, which tracks retail inflation as a benchmark for its monetary policy and had said earlier this month that price rise was still a worry, expecting inflation to rise to 6% by January 2016.

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