Retail inflation surges to 5.61% in December

13 Jan 2016 Evaluate

Rising for straight five months in a row, the retail or the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for the month of December stood at 5.61 percent compared to 5.41 percent in November and 4.28 per cent in December 2014, on the back of costlier vegetables and cereals. This has limited the headroom for the Reserve Bank to lower rate next month.

As per the data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Consumer Price Index numbers on Base 2012=100 for Rural, Urban and Combined for the Month of December 2015 stood at 6.32%, 4.73% and 5.61% as against 5.95%, 4.71% and 5.41% in the month of November 2015. Meanwhile, Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) for all India Rural, Urban and Combined for the month of December 2015 stood at 6.41%, 6.31% and 6.40% respectively. The General Indices (Provisional) for the month of December 2015 for Rural, Urban and Combined are 127.9, 124.0 and 126.1 respectively. The CFPI for Rural, Urban and Combined for the same month are 131.2, 131.4 and 131.3 respectively.

Food inflation stood at nine month high of 6.4 per cent. Retail prices of cereals and products moved up by 2.12 per cent in December, from 1.7 per cent in November. The growth in prices in meat and fish stood out at 6.57 per cent as against 5.34 per cent in November while that of eggs was at 0.97 per cent, from 0.5 per cent in the previous month. Pulses continue to pose a big challenge for policymakers as the rate of price growth stood at 45.92 per cent, only marginally down from 46.08 per cent in November.

Retail inflation in the oil and fats category moved up to 7.06 per cent while that of fuel and light, it was 5.45 per cent. However, seasonal fruits turned cheaper in December, with inflation print at 0.64 per cent although vegetables prices grew 4.63 per cent.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) predicts inflation will accelerate to 5.8% by January 2016.The RBI takes into account retail inflation while formulating monetary policy. In its bi-monthly monetary policy review in the beginning of December, RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan had maintained status quo in its key repo rate as retail inflation has been on a rising trend for past few months.


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