IMD forecasts southwest monsoon to hit Kerala on May 31

16 May 2024 Evaluate

In a major relief to the country’s agriculture economy, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has stated that the southwest monsoon is likely to hit Kerala on May 31. Southwest monsoon normally sets in over Kerala on June 1 with a standard deviation of about seven days. The advance of the southwest monsoon over the Indian mainland is marked by monsoon onset over Kerala and is an important indicator characterising the transition from a hot and dry season to a rainy season. 

As the monsoon progresses northward, relief from scorching summer temperatures is experienced over the areas. These rains are crucial to the Indian agriculture economy (especially for kharif crops). India has three cropping seasons -- summer, kharif and rabi. Traditionally, the Kharif area/output is heavily reliant on the normal progression of monsoon rainfall. 

The IMD further said that the southwest monsoon is very likely to advance into South Andaman Sea, some parts of the Southeast Bay of Bengal and Nicobar Islands around May 19. Recently, the IMD had forecast above-normal rain in the monsoon season in India with favourable La Nina conditions expected to set in by August-September.

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