Amid global geo-political uncertainties, the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) in its Monthly Economic Review for August has said that the Indian economy has remained resilient but the outlook seems softer due to moderation in a couple of high-frequency indicators. The report said bank credit growth of scheduled commercial banks (both food and non-food) moderated in June 2024.
It added that personal loan credit growth and bank credit for the services sector has decelerated. It also said ‘the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing and services declined marginally in July 2024 but maintained its expansionary momentum’. However, growth in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) and IIP for core industries moderated in June 2024.
NCAER said that while Consumer Price Index (CPI) headline inflation declined in July 2024, mainly due to an easing of food inflation, wholesale price inflation also declined in July 2024. It also said the merchandise trade deficit widened while the services trade surplus increased sequentially in July 2024.