Inflation to come under 8% by July: IEG

06 Jun 2011 Evaluate

According to the Institute of Economic Growth (IEG), the headline inflation is expected to come under 8% after remaining above the 8% mark for more than year. The forecast of IEG is much in the line with Finance minister’s view on inflation. The wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation is likely to be 8.47%, 8.24% and 7.93% for May, June and July 2011 respectively, IEG said in its monthly monitor report. 

The inflation measured by WPI, stood at 8.66% for month of April. Inflation was 9.04% in March and 9.54% in February. This fall in inflation was mainly because of fall in certain food items.

The beginning of current financial year has been slow and this slowdown is because of the slow growth in industrial sector.  As per the report, the industrial growth will slow down to 4.84% by July end. IIP in March stood at 7.3%. IEG has said that, 'though global recovery is picking up, the inflation pushed rate hikes will pull the growth down'. The central bank’s has been repeatedly hiking its policy rates in order to curb inflation.

Though for the week ended May 21 the inflation has declined considerably to 8.06% from 8.55% in previous week and commenting on fall in weekly food inflation, Finance Minister Pranab Mukharjee had expressed his confidence on the decline of inflation due to fall in food items, he said, if the declining trend in food items and non-food primary items articles continues, “It would be possible to have a moderate rate of inflation.” Food inflation measured by WPI fell to 8.06% during week ended may 21 from 8.55% in the previous week.

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