India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has projected the Indian economy to grow at 6.6 per cent in 2025-26, up from 6.4 per cent in the current fiscal year. Ind-Ra believes investments will be a key growth driver for the Indian economy in FY26, like in FY22 and FY24. The Indian economy has experienced a cyclical growth slowdown in the past three quarters, which it expects to reverse from the December quarter.
The GDP growth till FY24 was impacted by the aftereffects of Covid-19, even the base effect impacted the quarterly GDP growth. While the June quarter GDP growth of FY25 was impacted by the combination of a strong base effect and the general elections in May 2024, the growth in the July-September period witnessed the extended impact of weak private sector capex. Ind-Ra believes that the Indian economy is facing monetary, fiscal, and external tightening. While it expects monetary conditions to ease now, the fiscal and external tightening is expected to continue in FY26 as well.
Devendra Kumar Pant, Chief Economist and Head Public Finance, Ind-Ra said ‘Nonetheless, the FY26 GDP growth is expected to be same as India's best decadal growth (FY11-FY20)’. It added growth and inflation forecast could, however, be affected by any tariff war, and any capital outflow, if the dollar continues to strengthen. It expects the retail inflation in FY26 to average at 4.4 per cent, lower than FY25 forecast of 4.9 per cent.
It noted ‘The timing of rate cut would depend on how the forthcoming data -- arithmetic of the FY26 Union Budget, inflation trajectory and evolving domestic and global landscape -- gels with the RBI's flexible inflation targeting approach’. It further said merchandise trade account is expected to remain in deficit of $308 billion in FY26 (FY25: $277.4 billion, FY24: $244.9 billion).
MoneyWorks4Me rating and ranking of funds for SIP is available to subscribers only. Moneyworks4Me is not a rating and ranking agency, however it is required that users have a way of selecting funds and building a Portfolio. The method used by it are described below to enable users to understand the logic behind the rating and ranking Subscriber will find more details on this in the various content made available from time to time. In case you need more please write to besafe@moneyworks4Me.com
MoneyWorks4Me rates and ranks mutual funds based on the following data-driven system:
Funds ranking in screeners: Performance Consistency and Quality are two parameters used for ranking funds for SIP. The ranking as follows GG, GO, GR, OG, OO, OR, RG, RO and RR.
With the same color-coded funds, the one with the higher Average 3-year rolling returns (over 5 to 10 years), the number that appears in the Performance tag, ranks higher.
Here is the summary:
The third tag Upside Potential is not relevant for SIP. It is relevant for lumpsum investments in Mutual Funds.
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