Happy Forgings Ltd - Stock Valuation and Financial Performance

BSE: 544057 | NSE: HAPPYFORGE | Forgings | Small Cap

Happy Forgings Share Price

1,008.50 -11.85 -1.16%
as on 20-Dec'24 16:59

DeciZen - make an informed investing decision on Happy Forgings

Overall Rating
Bole Toh

1. Quality

2. Valuation

Somewhat overvalued

3. Price Trend

Happy Forgings stock performance -

mw4me loader
P/E Ratio (SA):
36.69
Market Cap:
9,500.6 Cr.
52-wk low:
813.6
52-wk high:
1,299

Is Happy Forgings Ltd an attractive stock to invest in?

1. Is Happy Forgings Ltd a good quality company?

Past 10 year's financial track record analysis by Moneyworks4me indicates that Happy Forgings Ltd is a good quality company.

2. Is Happy Forgings Ltd undervalued or overvalued?

The key valuation ratios of Happy Forgings Ltd's currently when compared to its past seem to suggest it is in the Somewhat overvalued zone.

3. Is Happy Forgings Ltd a good buy now?

The Price Trend analysis by MoneyWorks4Me indicates it is Weak which suggest that the price of Happy Forgings Ltd is likely to Fall in the short term. However, please check the rating on Quality and Valuation before investing.

10 Year X-Ray of Happy Forgings:

Analysis of Financial Track Record

Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end
Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end

Data adjusted to bonus, split, extra-ordinary income, rights issue and change in financial year end.

Financial track record gives insight into the company's performance on key parameters over the past ten years. MoneyWorks4me’s proprietary colour codes make it easy for retail investors to gauge the company’s past performance.
Happy Forgings Ltd has performed well in majority of the past ten years indicating its past ten year financial track record is very good

Value Creation

Value Creation Index Colour Code Guide

Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23TTM
ROCE % 11.4%15.3%15.2%19.3%28.4%31.8%23.9%17.5%21.8%26.2%-
Value Creation
Index
-0.20.10.10.41.11.40.80.30.60.9-

Growth Parameters

Growth Parameters Colour Code Guide

Sales 2983413754365517505585858601,1971,388
Sales YoY Gr.-14.6%9.8%16.3%26.4%36.3%-25.6%4.8%47%39.1%-
Adj EPS 0.50.92.23.77.210.78.89.615.62327.5
YoY Gr.-89.8%131.2%72.6%93%48.9%-17.4%8.4%62.8%47.7%-
BVPS (₹) 810.216.620.323.353.562.472.188110.4181.6
Adj Net
Profit
3.56.916.929.356.595.478.985.5139205259
Cash Flow from Ops. 9.428.53948.234.513616949.980.3209-
Debt/CF from Ops. 25.58.25.33.88.71.10.73.131-

CAGR

CAGR Colour Code Guide

9 Years 5 Years 3 Years 1 Years
Sales 16.7%16.8%29%39.1%
Adj EPS 53.3%26.2%37.6%47.7%
BVPS33.9%36.5%21%25.5%
Share Price - - - -

Key Financial Parameters

Performance Ratio Colour Code Guide

Mar'14Mar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23TTM
Return on
Equity %
6.710.416.420.132.928.815.214.219.423.118.8
Op. Profit
Mgn %
17.318.52021.424.927.425.727.126.928.528.5
Net Profit
Mgn %
1.224.56.710.312.714.114.616.217.218.7
Debt to
Equity
4.23.11.61.21.60.30.20.20.30.20
Working Cap
Days
16916315012814315121922318015798
Cash Conv.
Cycle
698377699710613012612511665

Recent Performance Summary

Sales growth is growing at healthy rate in last 3 years 28.95%

Net Profit is growing at healthy rate in last 3 years 37.61%

Return on Equity has declined versus last 3 years average to 18.80%

Sales growth is not so good in last 4 quarters at 9.63%

Latest Financials - Happy Forgings Ltd.

Standalone Consolidated
TTM EPS (₹) 27.5 25.8
TTM Sales (₹ Cr.) 1,388 1,358
BVPS (₹.) 181.6 181.6
Reserves (₹ Cr.) 1,723 1,692
P/BV 5.55 5.55
PE 36.69 39.10
From the Market
52 Week Low / High (₹) 813.55 / 1298.95
All Time Low / High (₹) 813.55 / 1298.95
Market Cap (₹ Cr.) 9,501
Equity (₹ Cr.) 18.8
Face Value (₹) 2
Industry PE 37.5

Management X-Ray of Happy Forgings:

Shareholding Pattern

Promoter's Holding & Share Pledging

Pledged *0.000.000.000.00
* Pledged shares as % of Promoter's holding (%)

Event Update

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Analyst's Notes

Key Ratios of Happy Forgings

Adj EPS (Rs.)

Sales (Cr.)

ROE (%)

ROCE (%)

Profit And Loss

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24
Sales3413754365517505585858601,1971,358
Operating Expenses 278300343413545416426629856971
Manufacturing Costs7173998912199102143173211
Material Costs169185193250336249252388551597
Employee Cost 192336425149496988114
Other Costs 18201532371924304449
Operating Profit 637593137205142159231341388
Operating Profit Margin (%) 18.5%20.0%21.3%24.9%27.4%25.5%27.1%26.8%28.5%28.5%
Other Income 92141766613
Interest 2929232223251271212
Depreciation 26282823292836385465
Exceptional Items 0000000000
Profit Before Tax 1720429615596117192280324
Tax 231338591631507181
Profit After Tax 15172958958086142209243
PAT Margin (%) 4.3%4.5%6.8%10.6%12.7%14.3%14.8%16.5%17.4%17.9%
Adjusted EPS (₹)2.02.23.77.410.78.99.715.923.325.8
Dividend Payout Ratio (%)0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%16%

Balance Sheet

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24

Equity and Liabilities

Shareholders Fund 761311601844795586457889881,607
Share Capital 7888999181819
Reserves 691231521764705506367709701,588
Minority Interest0000000000
Debt214184176293143105150236193143
Long Term Debt15713511316170543074580
Short Term Debt5649631327351120162134143
Trade Payables47392833283638444856
Others Liabilities 45563167696441629881
Total Liabilities 3824103955767197638741,1301,3261,886

Fixed Assets

Gross Block310367380471319332507586859988
Accumulated Depreciation108135163186295792130181244
Net Fixed Assets203232217285291275415456678744
CWIP 4179461094021275127
Investments 00003000000
Inventories767353769876122184170224
Trade Receivables746780172169138166222308357
Cash Equivalents 53375562810117
Others Assets20333527801091045495317
Total Assets 3824103955767197638741,1301,3261,886

Cash Flow

(All Figures are in Crores.)
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24
Cash Flow From Operating Activity 283948341361695080209189
PBT 1720429615596117192280324
Adjustment 18272845555046407172
Changes in Working Capital -3-1-7-84-2347-79-109-78-123
Tax Paid -3-7-15-23-50-25-34-43-64-84
Cash Flow From Investing Activity -5-24-23-132-162-119-59-166-172-469
Capex -4-20-24-128-166-101-92-191-174-194
Net Investments 00000-5129232-277
Others -1-51-44334201
Cash Flow From Financing Activity -22-17-249627-501083-37281
Net Proceeds from Shares 25001990000381
Net Proceeds from Borrowing 00-3048-90-16-29482-84
Interest Paid 000-21-24-12-25-7-12-13
Dividend Paid 000000000-12
Others -25-22669-59-236442-279
Net Cash Flow 1-20-2101-301
PARTICULARSMar'15Mar'16Mar'17Mar'18Mar'19Mar'20Mar'21Mar'22Mar'23Mar'24
Ratios
ROE (%)22.1716.3920.2133.8928.8223.1914.3619.8623.518.73
ROCE (%)15.2615.2419.3228.4431.7723.8817.4621.8126.1822.7
Asset Turnover Ratio0.981.061.211.161.160.950.710.860.980.85
PAT to CFO Conversion(x)1.872.291.660.591.432.110.580.5610.78
Working Capital Days
Receivable Days73615582836795828189
Inventory Days70654842424962655453
Payable Days106856345335554393032

Happy Forgings Ltd Stock News

Happy Forgings Ltd FAQs

Company share prices are keep on changing according to the market conditions. The closing price of Happy Forgings on 20-Dec-2024 16:59 is ₹1,008.5.
Market capitalization or market cap is determined by multiplying the current market price of a company's shares with the total number of shares outstanding. As of 20-Dec-2024 16:59 the market cap of Happy Forgings stood at ₹9,500.6.
The latest P/E ratio of Happy Forgings as of 20-Dec-2024 16:59 is 36.69.
The latest P/B ratio of Happy Forgings as of 20-Dec-2024 16:59 is 5.55.
The 52-week high of Happy Forgings is ₹1,299 and the 52-week low is ₹813.5.
The TTM revenue is Trailing Twelve Months sales. The TTM revenue/sales of Happy Forgings is ₹1,388 ( Cr.) .

About Happy Forgings Ltd

Happy Forgings was incorporated as ‘Happy Forgings Private Limited’ at Jalandhar, Punjab as a private limited company under the Companies Act, 1956, pursuant to a certificate of incorporation dated July 2, 1979, issued by the Registrar of Companies, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh and Chandigarh. Thereafter, the company was converted from a private limited company to a public limited company, pursuant to a resolution passed in the EGM of its Shareholders held on March 31, 1998, and the name of the Company was changed to ‘Happy Forgings Limited’, and a fresh certificate of incorporation dated April 1, 1998, was issued to the company by the Registrar of Companies, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh and Chandigarh.

The company is the fourth largest engineering led manufacturer of complex and safety critical, heavy forged and high precision machined components in India as of Fiscal 2023 in terms of forgings capacity. The company, through its vertically integrated operations, is engaged in engineering, process design, testing, manufacturing, and supply of a variety of components that are both margin accretive and value-additive. It primarily caters to domestic and global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) manufacturing commercial vehicles in the automotive sector, while in the non-automotive sector, it caters to manufacturers of farm equipment, off-highway vehicles and manufacturers of industrial equipment and machinery for oil and gas, power generation, railways and wind turbine industries.

With many years of experience of manufacturing and supplying quality and complex components according to customers specifications, it has emerged as a leading player in the domestic crankshaft manufacturing industry with the second largest production capacity for commercial vehicle and high horse-power industrial crankshafts in India. Its focus on producing margin accretive value-added products has led to its transition from being a forging led business to a machined components manufacture. It manufactures a wide range of heavy forged and machined products which include crankshafts, front axle beams, steering knuckles, differential cases, transmission parts, pinion shafts, suspension products and valve bodies across industries for a diversified base of customers.

Business area of the company 

The company is principally engaged in manufacturing of forgings and related components. It primarily caters to domestic and global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) manufacturing commercial vehicles in the automotive sector, while in the non-automotive sector, it caters to manufacturers of farm equipment, off-highway vehicles and manufacturers of industrial equipment and machinery for oil and gas, power generation, railways and wind turbine industries

Products of the company

  • Crankshafts
  • Front axle beams 
  • Steering knuckles 
  • Differential cases 
  • Transmission parts 
  • Pinion shafts 
  • Suspension products 
  • Valve bodies

Awards, accreditations or recognitions

  • 2011: ‘Best in Class’ award by Oerlikon Drive Systems.
  • 2012: ‘Development’ award by JCB India Limited.
  • 2015: ‘Best Supplier (Forging)’award from a gear manufacturing company.
  • 2016: ‘Overall Excellence in Cost Delivery and Quality’ award at Partners Meet 2016 organised by Escorts.
  • 2016: ‘Proactive Cost Competitiveness’ award for the year 2015-16 at Supplier Summit 2016 organised by Ashok Leyland.
  • 2017: ‘Outstanding Contribution in Overall Performance Excellence’ award from VE Commercial Vehicles, a joint venture of Volvo Group & Eicher Motors.
  • 2017: ‘Sanjeevani Award’ by an engine manufacturing company.
  • 2018: ‘Delivery Excellence’ award at the Meritor Europe Truck Supplier Day by Meritor.
  • 2021: Received the IATF 16949:2016 accreditation for manufacturing of forged and machined components without product design responsibility and with the extended manufacturing site(s) for Kanganwal Facility I.
  • 2021: Received the ISO 14001: 2015 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components Kanganwal Facility I. 
  • 2021: Received the ISO 45001: 2018accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components Kanganwal Facility I.
  • 2022: ‘Excellence Award’ by Escorts Kubota Limited.
  • 2022: Received the IATF 16949:2016 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components and excluding product design Dugri Facility.
  • 2023: ‘Supplier Excellence Award’ for delivery performance at AAM (American Axle Manufacturing) India Supplier Event 2023.
  • 2023: Award for Outstanding Contribution in Gear Business’ at the Annual Supplier Conference 2023 organised by Eicher Engineering Components, VE Commercial Vehicles.
  • 2023: Received a certificate of appreciation for supplier agri machinery under ‘Business Excellence Process/Digitalisation’ by Escorts Kubota Limited
  • 2023: Received the ISO 45001:2018 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components and excluding product design Dugri Facility.
  • 2023: Received the ISO 14001:2015 accreditation for manufacture of forged and machined components and excluding product design Dugri Facility.

History and milestones

  • 1979: Incorporation of the Company.
  • 1995: Purchased heavy duty hammers for manufacturing at Kanganwal Facility II.
  • 2006: Commencement of operations at Kanganwal Facility I.
  • 2007: The revenue from operations of the Company crossed Rs 1,000 million.
  • 2008: Commissioned its first 8,000 ton forging press.
  • 2009: Commencement of manufacturing front steering parts by procuring axle arms.
  • 2009: Installed model grinding technology used to manufacture four cylinder and six cylinder crankshafts.
  • 2011: Ventured into new industries i.e. commercial vehicles, farm equipments and industrial equipments.
  • 2017: Commissioned its second 8,000 ton forging press.
  • 2018: Fund raised from India Business Excellence Fund-III.
  • 2018: The revenue from operations of the Company crossed Rs 500 crore
  • 2019: Forayed into a new sector by manufacturing pinion shaft to cater to the manufacturers in the wind turbine industry.
  • 2021: Installed its third 8,000 ton forging press line.
  • 2021: Commencement of its operations at the Dugri Facility.
  • 2022: Commencement of sale of front axle beam for electric buses to one of its customers catering in the commercial vehicle industry
  • 2022: Its long term bank facilities were assigned ‘AA-(Stable)’rating each from CRISIL Ratings and ICRA Limited.
  • 2022: Commissioned its first 14,000 ton forging press line.
  • 2022: Installed eight dedicated lines for manufacturing crankshafts.

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